Title | ||
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Incorporating land-use changes and surface-groundwater interactions in a simple catchment water yield model. |
Abstract | ||
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Pressure on limited water resources and the environment requires better understanding of how landscape change impacts river flow. Rainfall-runoff models have traditionally focused on estimating total river flows with less emphasis on modelling the groundwater component or the consequences of different land-use change scenarios. In this paper, we present the GWlag model, a water-generation model that predicts river flows with explicit accounting of the impacts of catchment land-use change and surface-groundwater interactions. The paper firstly describes the theory that underpins the model and its calibration then presents a case study application in the Tarcutta Creek catchment of the Murray-Darling Basin, Australia. The case study aims at: (i) demonstrating the ability of the model to predict daily river flows; (ii) modelling the impacts of hypothetical plantation forestry expansions on river flows; and (iii) showing the impacts of reduced recharge on the low-flow regime using three indices, namely, Q"9"0/Q"5"0 (where Q"n refers to nth percentile flow), slope of low-flow part of flow duration curve, and % of zero-flow days. Results showed that predicted flows agreed favourably to those observed at the gauge especially during low-flow conditions. The hypothetical plantation expansion from 32% to 87% of the catchment area has resulted in reductions of 48% and 32%, in Q"5"0 and Q"2"0, respectively. The low-flow indices demonstrated the great sensitivity of low flow to reductions in recharge with the trend of the low-flow response changing to non-linear for recharge reductions beyond 10%. GWlag daily river flow predictions compared favourably to those obtained from four other rainfall-runoff models in terms of the Nash-Sutcliffe model efficiency (E). However, GWlag produced the highest E-value for log-transformed flows thus highlighting the model's superior predictive capability during low-flow conditions. |
Year | DOI | Venue |
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2012 | 10.1016/j.envsoft.2012.05.005 | Environmental Modelling and Software |
Keywords | Field | DocType |
daily river flow,landscape change impacts river,incorporating land-use change,river flow,nash-sutcliffe model efficiency,rainfall-runoff model,low-flow index,low-flow part,simple catchment water yield,surface-groundwater interaction,gwlag model,low-flow condition,gwlag daily river flow,catchment hydrology,perfect | Streamflow,Catchment area,Drainage basin,Groundwater,Hydrology,Computer science,Water resources,Groundwater recharge,Structural basin,Catchment hydrology | Journal |
Volume | ISSN | Citations |
38 | 1364-8152 | 6 |
PageRank | References | Authors |
0.66 | 13 | 6 |
Name | Order | Citations | PageRank |
---|---|---|---|
Mat Gilfedder | 1 | 16 | 2.66 |
D. W. Rassam | 2 | 14 | 2.60 |
M. P. Stenson | 3 | 6 | 0.66 |
I. D. Jolly | 4 | 6 | 0.66 |
G. R. Walker | 5 | 6 | 0.66 |
M. Littleboy | 6 | 6 | 0.66 |