Title
A finite mixture of bivariate Poisson regression models with an application to insurance ratemaking
Abstract
Bivariate Poisson regression models for ratemaking in car insurance have been previously used. They included zero-inflated models to account for the excess of zeros and the overdispersion in the data set. These models are now revisited in order to consider alternatives. A 2-finite mixture of bivariate Poisson regression models is used to demonstrate that the overdispersion in the data requires more structure if it is to be taken into account, and that a simple zero-inflated bivariate Poisson model does not suffice. At the same time, it is shown that a finite mixture of bivariate Poisson regression models embraces zero-inflated bivariate Poisson regression models as a special case. Finally, an EM algorithm is provided in order to ensure the models' ease-of-fit. These models are applied to an automobile insurance claims data set and it is shown that the modeling of the data set can be improved considerably.
Year
DOI
Venue
2012
10.1016/j.csda.2012.05.016
Computational Statistics & Data Analysis
Keywords
Field
DocType
insurance ratemaking,special case,finite mixture,zero-inflated model,bivariate poisson regression model,automobile insurance claims data,car insurance,2-finite mixture,em algorithm,simple zero-inflated bivariate poisson,overdispersion
Econometrics,Quasi-likelihood,Overdispersion,Expectation–maximization algorithm,A priori and a posteriori,Poisson regression,Statistics,Bivariate analysis,Finite mixture,Mathematics,Special case
Journal
Volume
Issue
ISSN
56
12
0167-9473
Citations 
PageRank 
References 
2
0.45
3
Authors
2
Name
Order
Citations
PageRank
Lluís Bermúdez120.79
Dimitris Karlis214920.71